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with 50% of the vote, mitt romney, 47%, scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. and scott, those numbers were released a few minutes ago and suggests that the rasmussen tracking poll now reflects, or is reflective of the national trend towards president obama. >> and absolutely. president obama has a slight edge at the point in team. and, but for anybody who takes these numbers and says the election is over is a misreading of what we're seeing. in each of the last two elections between october 1st and election day, the results have shifted about 3 points, so we're not sure if it will continue this time around or which direction it will shift. it raises competitive. with the debates, the vice-presidential debate and the jobs and events in the middle east to come. certain voters, people who say, yes, i am certainly going to vote, going to vote. that shows 42% romney, 41% president obama. now, that's an uncommitted at 17%. and that's-- >> persuader. and that's right, it's essentially a tossup as the uncommitted or persuadables. including people who say i'm going to
with 50% of the vote, mitt romney, 47%, scott rasmussen from rasmussen reports is in new jersey. and scott, those numbers were released a few minutes ago and suggests that the rasmussen tracking poll now reflects, or is reflective of the national trend towards president obama. >> and absolutely. president obama has a slight edge at the point in team. and, but for anybody who takes these numbers and says the election is over is a misreading of what we're seeing. in each of the last two...
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the rasmussen poll does not wait democrats more heavily -- >> robopolling. >> we have an expert here in mark shields. >> we are in conservative wine country now. it is a miracle that ronald reagan won 49 states without fox news, rush limbaugh, sean hannity, drudge report, with the network's dominant and "the washington post" and "the new york times" ascended. mitt romney is being undone by some conspiracy out of a 7- eleven in falls church? [laughter] >> there was no other reagan. was unique and a political actor unlike any we have seen. putting mitt against him is unfair. he is not a great campaigner. i think he would be a great president, but he is not a great campaigner. evan is right. if the polls are 0.9% in one direction, there probably true. -- 90% in one direction, they are probably true. but you have to apply a formula by who is likely to show up. if you apply the model of the 2008 electorate, you get one result, highly pro-obama. but if you say the electorate will look more like 2004, then the race is even. i think that is the only argument that you could make. not a conspi
the rasmussen poll does not wait democrats more heavily -- >> robopolling. >> we have an expert here in mark shields. >> we are in conservative wine country now. it is a miracle that ronald reagan won 49 states without fox news, rush limbaugh, sean hannity, drudge report, with the network's dominant and "the washington post" and "the new york times" ascended. mitt romney is being undone by some conspiracy out of a 7- eleven in falls church? [laughter]...
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there are 15% in a rasmussen poll that are still uncommitted. bob bennett a former republican senator from utah and byron dorgan democratic senator from north dakota is also joining us. senator dorgan, that seems like a high number. what do you make of this ahead of wednesday night's debate? >> well most polls have are you certain and then also are you leaning? this doesn't have one of those categories. you know, this is kind of like a scavenger hunt for good polling news. it is entertaining, but it doesn't matter very much. what really matters is what do the polls show how independents feel in ohio, pennsylvania, florida, wisconsin and so on? so, you know, this is a close race. i think president obama is leading in the key swing states. and this debate is going to be very interesting, viewed by a lot of americans. so i think both candidates are going intoothis thinking they really have to do well. connell: senator dorgan is right senator bennett in that the president has been leading in the polls. take nbc "wall street journal" as an example in
there are 15% in a rasmussen poll that are still uncommitted. bob bennett a former republican senator from utah and byron dorgan democratic senator from north dakota is also joining us. senator dorgan, that seems like a high number. what do you make of this ahead of wednesday night's debate? >> well most polls have are you certain and then also are you leaning? this doesn't have one of those categories. you know, this is kind of like a scavenger hunt for good polling news. it is...
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one thing i do think in this rasmussen poll goes to this, that people are more persuadable and susceptible to argument and changing their minds than we think. the democratic convention moved the needle in this race because bill clinton went out for 45 minutes and made a case on substance largely against mitt romney and he made it. and romney's 47% remark moved the needle. there is a narrow lead for president obama. so romney needs to make the case affirmatively for his program and why it's better than the president's. this is not just a referendum. this was the romney theory going in. he needs to prove that he's a better choice for the next four years. >> people are still persuadable. 15% is a pretty big number. if you look at undecided voters in most polls it's around 6%. but rich is right. people will pay attention to this and they will look for something maybe to make them change their minds for people who aren't completely thrilled about their choice which actually i think in both parties it's most people. most people aren't that excited about their choice. but it's mostly the independ
one thing i do think in this rasmussen poll goes to this, that people are more persuadable and susceptible to argument and changing their minds than we think. the democratic convention moved the needle in this race because bill clinton went out for 45 minutes and made a case on substance largely against mitt romney and he made it. and romney's 47% remark moved the needle. there is a narrow lead for president obama. so romney needs to make the case affirmatively for his program and why it's...
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>> it's interesting the head of nato in brussels today rasmussen essentially hinted as much with an interview with the guardian newspaper. general john allen the top u.s. commander in afghanistan expressed his frustration. >> i am mad as hell about it to be honest with you. we're going to get after this. it reverberates everywhere across the united states. we're willing to sacrifice a lot for this campaign. but we're not willing to be murdered for it. >> allen is the first top level general to, excuse me, rasmussen is the top person to, at this point in nato to suggest any sort of change in the withdrawal deadline general allen from used at the inability to stop these kind of insider attacks, shepard. >> shepard: jennifer griffin at the pentagon. thanks so much. meantime journalists in afghanistan are celebrating a small victory for freedom of the press. the afghan government has agreed to drop some of its proposed new restrictions on reporters there among the changes, getting rid of a special court for accusations of media violations. still the government rejected more than a dozen changes t
>> it's interesting the head of nato in brussels today rasmussen essentially hinted as much with an interview with the guardian newspaper. general john allen the top u.s. commander in afghanistan expressed his frustration. >> i am mad as hell about it to be honest with you. we're going to get after this. it reverberates everywhere across the united states. we're willing to sacrifice a lot for this campaign. but we're not willing to be murdered for it. >> allen is the first top...
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. >> i haven't seen it specifically -- i saw something on twitter a headline that even rasmussen has obama up three. so now they've got -- >> stephanie: the fox news poll. as well. >> they're in on the conspiracy. >> the "wall street journal" poll. you have to have rupert purr dock's -- murdoch's fox, rupert murdoch, rasmussen in on the conspiracy. it is a wildfire! >> stephanie: we're like wow. so mitt romney is running a really good campaign? [ scooby-doo's "huh?" ] >> so now fox news's strategy is to diminish the people who vote for president obama. calling them stupid. stupidest people on earth. >> stephanie: let's hear some of that. let's dive into the right-wing world. sean hannity reaching back for his reagan binky. >> you and i know this, the president walked into a mess, right? let's stop and think about it. so did ronald reagan. >> ronald reagan, 8% growth. >> we're not debating ronald reagan. we're debating obama. >> reagan had a far worse economy than obama inherited. he said he was inheriting it and he said -- but he hasn't fixed it. >> wow. >> stephanie: wow. really rea
. >> i haven't seen it specifically -- i saw something on twitter a headline that even rasmussen has obama up three. so now they've got -- >> stephanie: the fox news poll. as well. >> they're in on the conspiracy. >> the "wall street journal" poll. you have to have rupert purr dock's -- murdoch's fox, rupert murdoch, rasmussen in on the conspiracy. it is a wildfire! >> stephanie: we're like wow. so mitt romney is running a really good campaign? [...
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rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote for. these debates are for the undecided it is a huge chunk of the population. other than voters turn out of the base. that will turn the election>> eric: that is 10-20 percent of the undisguisable and persuadable. throw that poll up one more second. in the bottom of that. likely voters. those are the polls that are most accurate and go after the likely voters . not just people who poll random people. >> steve: you and i talked about george washington university. they do a battle ground poll . barak 49 percent x. romney 47. and now he leads by 4 in the independents which is a better number
rasmussen shows how many people are for the president and how many for mr. mitt romney . rasmussen poll was accurate in 2004 and 8 getting the results according to the track being poll. 43 percent said they are certain to vote for romney and 42 percent certain vote for obama and 15 percent haven't decided . >> gretchen: that's huge. that is a dead heat report to look at the certainty of these people they are voting early right and these people who know in the debates who they will vote...
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rasmussen and gallup at 5 and rasmussen at 2. >> polls it show obama up 11 in swing states. that sounds high to me. but in any case, obama's ahead, romney has to change something. he has a chance to do it. >> all right, john harwood, thank you. >> today is the start of the fourth quarter. and joining us is teach stanley, chief economist for peerpont securities. the lead story is how trade is slowing around the world. all of europe's problems getting exported to the rest of the world. what do you think this means just in terms of the fourth quarter and maybe a look into next year? >> good morning, becky. well, i think right now the u.s. economy is really slow in part because of what you guys were just talking about, the election. i think a lot of businesses have gone to the sidelines and they're waiting to see as you all discuss, we have a huge choice to be made. and businesses don't really know what the outlook is going to be for the next four years. so if i have -- if i'm a businessman and i have an investment or hiring decision to make, i'm just going to wait a couple mont
rasmussen and gallup at 5 and rasmussen at 2. >> polls it show obama up 11 in swing states. that sounds high to me. but in any case, obama's ahead, romney has to change something. he has a chance to do it. >> all right, john harwood, thank you. >> today is the start of the fourth quarter. and joining us is teach stanley, chief economist for peerpont securities. the lead story is how trade is slowing around the world. all of europe's problems getting exported to the rest of the...
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a rasmussen poll fromepo the weekend -- is more from the vice-president on the weekends and florida. [video clip] >> they're spending a lot of time telling you what barack obama and joe biden are against and what we have done. the attack everything. the truth of the matter is that nowhere is it more clear what they would do that in medicare. let me start by giving you a few specific examples. to make a examples. number one, they have laid out clearly, they say, that what barack obama and i did was we endangered medicare, that we stole money from medicare and we did this to get obamacare and all this. you see it in ads and everything they say. nothing could be further from the truth. everyone of you in this room who is on medicare or has a mother or father on medicare knows that since barack obama acted, your parents and those of you on medicare have more benefits than before. host: back to your calls on whether the vice presidential nominees will impact your vote? raymond is a democrat in waco, texas. caller: good morning. i want to make a comment on the medicare issue. i think ameri
a rasmussen poll fromepo the weekend -- is more from the vice-president on the weekends and florida. [video clip] >> they're spending a lot of time telling you what barack obama and joe biden are against and what we have done. the attack everything. the truth of the matter is that nowhere is it more clear what they would do that in medicare. let me start by giving you a few specific examples. to make a examples. number one, they have laid out clearly, they say, that what barack obama and...